Bratislava Economic Seminar, je spoločným projektom Katedry hospodárskej politky Národohospodárskej fakulty EUBA, CEF FMFI UK a Národnej banky Slovenska.
Seminár sa uskutočnil v stredu 27. novembra 2013 o 15:00 v posluchárni C, na Fakulte matematiky, fyziky a informatiky UK, Mlynská dolina, Bratislava a jeho náplňou budú prednášky:
Ray Barrell (Brunel University): What should we do about (Macro) Pru? Macro Prudential Policy and Credit
Abstract
Credit growth is widely used as an indicator of potential financial stress, and it plays a role in the new Basel III framework. However, it is not clear how good an indicator it is in markets that have been financially liberalised. We take a sample of 14 OECD countries and 14 Latin American and East Asian countries and investigate early warning systems for crises in the post Bretton Woods period. We show that there is a limited role for credit in an early warning system, and hence little reason for the Basel III structure. We argue that the choice of model for predicting crises depends upon both statistical criteria and on the use to which the model is to be put.
Karl Sigmund (University of Vienna): The social learning of social contracts
Abstract
Humans are remarkable through their ability to engage in collective action and cooperation with strangers. However, such action is often threatened by selfish behaviour. The necessity to sanction free riding raises interesting social dilemmas. In this lecture, they are analysed by game theoretic methods based on mathematical models and economic experiments. In particular, we will investigate
different forms of sanctioning and compare their stability and efficiency.
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